Validation of an Oral Disease Severity Score (ODSS) tool for use in oral mucous membrane pemphigoid.

BACKGROUND: Mucous membrane pemphigoid (MMP) is a rare autoimmune bullous disease predominantly affecting the oral mucosa. Optimal management relies upon thorough clinical assessment and documentation at each visit. OBJECTIVES: The primary aim of this study was to validate the Oral Disease Severity Score (ODSS) for the assessment of oral involvement in MMP. We also compared its inter- and intraobserver reliability with those of the oral parts of the Mucous Membrane Pemphigoid Disease Area Index (MMPDAI), Autoimmune Bullous Skin Disorder Intensity Score (ABSIS) and Physician's Global Assessment (PGA). METHODS: Fifteen patients with mild-to-moderately severe oral MMP were scored for disease severity by 10 oral medicine clinicians from four U.K. centres using the ODSS, the oral sections of MMPDAI and ABSIS, and PGA. Two clinicians rescored all patients after 2 h. RESULTS: In terms of reliability, the interobserver ODSS total score intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) was 0·97, MMPDAI activity 0·59 and damage 0·15, ABSIS total 0·84, and PGA 0·72. The intraobserver ICCs (two observers) for ODSS total were 0·97 and 0·93; for MMPDAI activity 0·93 and 0·70 and damage 0·93 and 0·79; for ABSIS total 0·99 and 0·94; and for PGA 0·92 and 0·94. Convergent validity between ODSS and MMPDAI was good (correlation coefficient 0·88). The mean ± SD time for completion of ODSS was 93 ± 31 s, with MMPDAI 102 ± 24 s and ABSIS involvement 71 ± 18 s. The PGA took < 5 s. CONCLUSIONS: This study has validated the ODSS for the assessment of oral MMP. It has shown superior interobserver agreement over MMPDAI, ABSIS and PGA, and superior intraobserver reliability to MMPDAI. It is quick and easy to perform. What's already known about this topic? There are no validated scoring methodologies for oral mucous membrane pemphigoid (MMP). Proposed disease activity scoring tools for MMP include the Mucous Membrane Disease Area Index (MMPDAI) and the Autoimmune Bullous Skin Disorder Intensity Score (ABSIS). The Oral Disease Severity Score (ODSS) has been validated for use in oral pemphigus vulgaris (PV). It has been shown to be reliable and sensitive in both lichen planus (LP) and MMP. What does this study add? The ODSS has been shown to be a thorough, sensitive and reproducible, yet quick scoring tool for the assessment of oral involvement in MMP. Its versatility for use in oral PV, MMP and LP is an added advantage over other scoring methodologies. What are the clinical implications of this work? We propose that the ODSS be used as a clinical scoring tool for monitoring activity in oral MMP in clinical practice as well as for use in multicentre studies.

Infrared thermography and ulcer prevention in the high-risk diabetic foot: data from a single-blind multicentre controlled clinical trial.

AIM: To assess the usefulness of monthly thermography and standard foot care to reduce diabetic foot ulcer recurrence. METHODS: People with diabetes (n = 110), neuropathy and history of ≥ 1 foot ulcer participated in a single-blind multicentre clinical trial. Feet were imaged with a novel thermal imaging device (Diabetic Foot Ulcer Prevention System). Participants were randomized to intervention (active thermography + standard foot care) or control (blinded thermography + standard foot care) and were followed up monthly until ulcer recurrence or for 12 months. Foot thermograms of participants from the intervention group were assessed for hot spots (areas with temperature ≥ 2.2°C higher than the corresponding contralateral site) and acted upon as per local standards. RESULTS: After 12 months, 62% of participants were ulcer-free in the intervention group and 56% in the control group. The odds ratios of ulcer recurrence (intervention vs control) were 0.82 (95% CI 0.38, 1.8; P = 0.62) and 0.55 (95% CI 0.21, 1.4; P = 0.22) in univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, respectively. The hazard ratios for the time to ulcer recurrence (intervention vs control) were 0.84 (95% CI 0.45, 1.6; P = 0.58) and 0.67 (95% CI 0.34, 1.3; P = 0.24) in univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Monthly intervention with thermal imaging did not result in a significant reduction in ulcer recurrence rate or increased ulcer-free survival in this cohort at high risk of foot ulcers. This trial has, however, informed the design of a refined study with longer follow-up and group stratification, further aiming to assess the efficacy of thermography to reduce ulcer recurrence.

Reliability of a novel thermal imaging system for temperature assessment of healthy feet.

BACKGROUND: Thermal imaging is a useful modality for identifying preulcerative lesions ("hot spots") in diabetic foot patients. Despite its recognised potential, at present, there is no readily available instrument for routine podiatric assessment of patients at risk. To address this need, a novel thermal imaging system was recently developed. This paper reports the reliability of this device for temperature assessment of healthy feet. METHODS: Plantar skin foot temperatures were measured with the novel thermal imaging device (Diabetic Foot Ulcer Prevention System (DFUPS), constructed by Photometrix Imaging Ltd) and also with a hand-held infrared spot thermometer (Thermofocus® 01500A3, Tecnimed, Italy) after 20 min of barefoot resting with legs supported and extended in 105 subjects (52 males and 53 females; age range 18 to 69 years) as part of a multicentre clinical trial. The temperature differences between the right and left foot at five regions of interest (ROIs), including 1st and 4th toes, 1st, 3rd and 5th metatarsal heads were calculated. The intra-instrument agreement (three repeated measures) and the inter-instrument agreement (hand-held thermometer and thermal imaging device) were quantified using intra-class correlation coefficients (ICCs) and the 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Both devices showed almost perfect agreement in replication by instrument. The intra-instrument ICCs for the thermal imaging device at all five ROIs ranged from 0.95 to 0.97 and the intra-instrument ICCs for the hand-held-thermometer ranged from 0.94 to 0.97. There was substantial to perfect inter-instrument agreement between the hand-held thermometer and the thermal imaging device and the ICCs at all five ROIs ranged between 0.94 and 0.97. CONCLUSIONS: This study reports the performance of a novel thermal imaging device in the assessment of foot temperatures in healthy volunteers in comparison with a hand-held infrared thermometer. The newly developed thermal imaging device showed very good agreement in repeated temperature assessments at defined ROIs as well as substantial to perfect agreement in temperature assessment with the hand-held infrared thermometer. In addition to the reported non-inferior performance in temperature assessment, the thermal imaging device holds the potential to provide an instantaneous thermal image of all sites of the feet (plantar, dorsal, lateral and medial views). TRIAL REGISTRATION: Diabetic Foot Ulcer Prevention System NCT02317835, registered December 10, 2014.

An Oral Disease Severity Score validated for use in oral pemphigus vulgaris.

BACKGROUND: Pemphigus vulgaris (PV) is a rare autoimmune bullous disease, which can present with recalcitrant oral mucosal lesions. Optimal management of PV relies upon careful clinical assessment and documentation. OBJECTIVES: The primary aim of this study was to validate the Oral Disease Severity Score (ODSS) for the assessment of oral involvement in PV. A secondary aim was to compare its inter- and intraobserver variability and ease of use with the Physician's Global Assessment (PGA) and the oral scoring methods used in the Autoimmune Bullous Skin Disorder Intensity Score (ABSIS) and the Pemphigus Disease Area Index (PDAI). METHODS: Fifteen patients with mild-to-moderately severe oral PV were scored for disease severity by 10 oral medicine clinicians using the ODSS, the PGA and the oral sections of ABSIS and PDAI. Two clinicians rescored all patients after a minimum 2-h interval. RESULTS: Interobserver reliability was assessed using an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). For the ODSS total score the ICC was 0·83, for PDAI (oral total activity) 0·79, ABSIS (oral total) 0·71 and PGA 0·7. Intraobserver agreement between initial scoring and rescoring of the same patient by two clinicians demonstrated an ICC for each of 0·97 and 0·96 for ODSS total score; 0·99 and 0·82 for PDAI oral activity; 0·86 and 0·45 for ABSIS total; and 0·99 and 0·64 for PGA. Convergent validity was good, with a correlation coefficient > 0·5 (P < 0·001). The mean ± SD times taken to complete each scoring method were ODSS 76 ± 37 s, PDAI 117 ± 16 s and ABSIS 75 ± 19 s. CONCLUSIONS: This study has validated the ODSS for the assessment of oral PV. It has shown superior inter- and intraobserver reliability to PDAI, ABSIS and PGA and is quick to perform.

Single-dose systemic methotrexate vs expectant management for treatment of tubal ectopic pregnancy: a placebo-controlled randomized trial.

OBJECTIVE: Methotrexate is used routinely worldwide for the medical treatment of clinically stable women with a tubal ectopic pregnancy. This is despite the lack of robust evidence to show its superior effectiveness over expectant management. The aim of our multicenter randomized controlled trial was to compare success rates of methotrexate against placebo for the conservative treatment of tubal ectopic pregnancy. METHODS: This study took place in two early-pregnancy units in the UK between August 2005 and June 2014. Inclusion criteria were clinically stable women with a conclusive ultrasound diagnosis of a tubal ectopic pregnancy, presenting with a low serum beta human chorionic gonadotropin (ß-hCG) level of < 1500 IU/L. Women were assigned randomly to a single systemic injection of either 50 mg/m2 methotrexate or placebo. The primary outcome was a binary indicator for success of conservative management, defined as resolution of clinical symptoms and decline of serum ß-hCG to < 20 IU/L or a negative urine pregnancy test without the need for any additional medical intervention. An intention-to-treat analysis was followed. RESULTS: We recruited a total of 80 women, 42 of whom were assigned to methotrexate and 38 to placebo. The arms of the study were matched in terms of age, ethnicity, obstetric history, pregnancy characteristics and serum levels of ß-hCG and progesterone. The rates of success were similar for the two study arms: 83% with methotrexate and 76% with placebo. On univariate analysis, this difference was not statistically significant (χ2 (1 degree of freedom) = 0.53; P = 0.47). On multivariate logistic regression, the serum level of ß-hCG was the only covariate found to be significantly associated with outcome. The odds of failure increased by 0.15% for each unit increase in ß-hCG (odds ratio, 1.0015 (95% CI, 1.0002-1.003); P = 0.02). In 14 women presenting with serum ß-hCG of 1000-1500 IU/L, the success rate was 33% in those managed expectantly compared with 62% in those receiving methotrexate. This difference was not statistically significant and a larger sample size would be needed to give sufficient power to detect a difference in the subgroup of women with higher ß-hCG. In women with successful conservative treatment, there was no significant difference in median ß-hCG resolution times between study arms (17.5 (interquartile range (IQR), 14-28.0) days (n = 30) in the methotrexate group vs 14 (IQR, 7-29.5) days (n = 25) in the placebo group; P = 0.73). CONCLUSIONS: The results of our study do not support the routine use of methotrexate for the treatment of clinically stable women diagnosed with tubal ectopic pregnancy presenting with low serum ß-hCG (< 1500 IU/L). Further work is required to identify a subgroup of women with tubal ectopic pregnancy and ß-hCG ≥ 1500 IU/L in whom methotrexate may offer a safe and cost-effective alternative to surgery. Copyright © 2016 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Comparación entre una sola dosis de metotrexate sistémico y la conducta expectante en el tratamiento de casos de embarazo ectópico tubárico: un ensayo aleatorio controlado con placebo RESUMEN OBJETIVO: El metotrexate se utiliza de modo rutinario en todo el mundo para el tratamiento de las mujeres clínicamente estables con un embarazo ectópico tubárico. Esto sucede a pesar de la falta de evidencia rigurosa que demuestre que su eficacia es superior a la conducta expectante. El objetivo de este ensayo controlado aleatorio multicéntrico fue comparar las tasas de éxito del metotrexate con las de un placebo para el tratamiento cauteloso del embarazo ectópico tubárico. MÉTODOS: Este estudio se llevó a cabo en dos clínicas de control de gestación temprana en el Reino Unido entre agosto de 2005 y junio de 2014. Los criterios de inclusión fueron mujeres clínicamente estables con un diagnóstico ecográfico concluyente de embarazo ectópico tubárico, las cuáles presentaban una concentración sérica baja de la ß hormona coriónica gonadotrópica (ß-hCG) inferior a 1500 UI/L. Las mujeres fueron asignadas aleatoriamente a una sola inyección sistémica de 50 mg/m2 de metotrexate o a placebo. El resultado primario fue un indicador binario del éxito del tratamiento conservador, definido como la resolución de los síntomas clínicos y la disminución en el suero de la ß-hCG a <20 UI/L o una prueba de embarazo negativa en orina sin la necesidad de ninguna intervención médica adicional. Se hizo un análisis por intención de tratar. RESULTADOS: Se reclutó un total de 80 mujeres; a 42 de ellas se les asignó el metotrexate y a 38 el placebo. Los grupos del estudio se realizaron en función de la edad, el origen étnico, los antecedentes obstétricos, las características del embarazo y los niveles séricos de la ß-hCG y la progesterona. Las tasas de éxito fueron similares para los dos grupos de estudio: 83% con metotrexate y 76% con placebo. En el análisis univariante, esta diferencia no fue estadísticamente significativa (χ2 (1 grado de libertad) = 0,53; P = 0,47). En la regresión logística multivariante, el nivel sérico de la ß-hCG fue la única covariable que se encontró significativamente asociada con el resultado. Las probabilidades de fracaso aumentaron en un 0,15% por cada unidad de aumento de la ß-hCG (cociente de probabilidad 1,0015 (IC 95%, 1,0002-1,003); P = 0,02). La tasa de éxito en las 14 mujeres con un nivel sérico de la ß-hCG de 1000-1500 UI/L fue del 33% en las tratadas con conducta expectante frente al 62% en las que recibieron metotrexate. Esta diferencia no fue estadísticamente significativa, por lo que se necesitaría un tamaño de muestra mayor, lo suficiente como para poder detectar diferencias en el subgrupo de mujeres con una ß-hCG más elevada. En las mujeres en las que el tratamiento conservador tuvo éxito, no hubo una diferencia significativa en la mediana de los tiempos de resolución de la ß-hCG entre los grupos del estudio (17,5 (amplitud intercuartílica (IQR), 14-28,0) días (n = 30) en el grupo de metotrexate frente a 14 (IQR, 7-29.5) días (n = 25) en el grupo de placebo; P = 0,73). CONCLUSIONES: Los resultados de este estudio no apoyan el uso rutinario de metotrexate para el tratamiento de las mujeres clínicamente estables diagnosticadas con un embarazo ectópico tubárico que presenta un nivel sérico bajo la ß-hCG (<1500 UI/L). Serán necesarios estudios adicionales para identificar un subgrupo de mujeres con embarazo ectópico tubárico y ß-hCG ≥1500 UI/L para quienes el metotrexate puede ofrecer una alternativa segura y rentable en comparación con la cirugía. : : ,,。。 : 2005820146,2。,,ß(beta human chorionic gonadotropin,ß-hCG)<1500 IU/L。,(50 mg/m2 )。,ß-hCG<20 IU/L,。。 : 80,42,38。2、、、ß-hCG。2:83%,76%。,[χ2 (1)=0.53;P=0.47]。logistic,ß-hCG。ß-hCG,0.15%[,1.0015(95% CI,1.0002~1.003);P=0.02]。14ß-hCG1000~1500 IU/L,33%,62%。,ß-hCG。,2ß-hCG(P=0.73),17.5[(interquartile range,IQR),14~28.0](n=30),14 (IQR,7~29.5)(n=25)。 : 、、ß-hCG(<1500 IU/L)。,ß-hCG>1500 IU/L、。.

Serum and salivary IgG and IgA antibodies to desmoglein 3 in mucosal pemphigus vulgaris.

BACKGROUND: The use of saliva for the diagnosis of pemphigus vulgaris (PV) by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) using desmoglein (Dsg)3 antigen has not been extensively documented, nor has the detection of serum IgA antibodies to Dsg3. OBJECTIVES: (i) To establish whether whole saliva might provide a suitable alternative to serum for diagnosing and monitoring PV; (ii) to investigate whether anti-Dsg3 IgA antibodies can be detected in serum and saliva and (iii) to establish whether there is an association between serum or saliva anti-Dsg3 antibodies and disease severity. METHODS: Precoated Dsg3 ELISA plates were used to test serum and/or saliva for IgG and IgA antibodies. Matched serum and whole saliva samples were collected from 23 patients with PV, 17 healthy subjects and 19 disease controls. All patients with PV, disease controls and six healthy controls provided matched parotid saliva. RESULTS: Whole saliva IgG antibodies to Dsg3 were detected in 14 of 23 patients (61%) and serum IgG antibodies were detected in 17 of 23 (74%) with a strong positive correlation. Serum IgA antibodies were detected in 14 of 23 patients with PV (61%) with a combined positivity (IgG and/or IgA antibodies to Dsg3) of 78% (18 of 23). We were unable to show IgA anti-Dsg3 antibodies in either whole or parotid saliva of patients with PV. Sequential samples showed that changes in IgG antibody titres in whole saliva were associated with a change in disease severity scores. CONCLUSIONS: Assay of salivary IgG antibodies to Dsg3 offers a diagnostic alternative to serum in the diagnosis and monitoring of PV. The role of anti-Dsg3 IgA antibodies requires further elucidation in the pathogenesis of PV.

Salivary IgA and IgG antibodies to bullous pemphigoid 180 noncollagenous domain 16a as diagnostic biomarkers in mucous membrane pemphigoid.

BACKGROUND: Mucous membrane pemphigoid (MMP) is an uncommon mucocutaneous immunobullous disorder. Use of saliva for diagnosis by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) using the noncollagenous (NC) domain 16a of bullous pemphigoid antigen II (BP180) is not well described. OBJECTIVE: To establish whether whole or parotid saliva is a suitable alternative to serum for diagnosis of MMP. METHODS: Precoated BP180-NC16a ELISA plates were used to test serum, and whole and parotid saliva for IgG, IgA and secretory IgA antibodies. Patients with MMP (n = 64) provided matched serum and whole saliva. In addition 18 of the MMP patients also provided matched parotid saliva. Healthy controls (n = 50) provided matched serum and whole saliva and 6 of these additionally provided matched parotid saliva. An additional 16 disease controls provided matched serum, and whole and parotid saliva. RESULTS: In whole saliva, IgG antibodies were detected in 11/64 (17%), IgA in 23/64 (36%) and a combined positivity in 29/64 (45%). In parotid saliva, IgA antibodies were found in 8/18 (44%). Serum IgG antibodies were detected in 27/64 (42%), serum IgA antibodies in 18/64 (28%) and a combined positivity in 33/64 (52%). Combined use of serum and saliva increased detection of specific antibodies by 30%. Control samples were all negative (positive predictive value of 100% for all tests). The negative predictive values were 62% for IgA saliva, 65% for IgG serum, 59% for IgA serum and 56% for IgG saliva. CONCLUSIONS: IgG and IgA antibodies may provide a suitable diagnostic marker in MMP. Assay of salivary IgA antibodies to NC16a offers a similar diagnostic predictive value to serum.

Supplemental vibrational force during orthodontic alignment: a randomized trial.

This prospective 3-arm parallel-group randomized clinical trial investigated the effect of supplemental vibrational force on rate of orthodontic tooth alignment with fixed appliances. Eighty-one subjects (40 males, 41 females; mean age, 14.1 y) undergoing first premolar extraction-based fixed appliance treatment were randomly allocated to treatment supplemented with daily use (20 min) of a removable intraoral vibrational device (AcceleDent; OrthoAccel Technologies Inc.; n = 29), an identical nonfunctional (sham) device (n = 25), or fixed appliances only (n = 27). Mandibular study casts were taken at baseline (treatment start: placement of 0.014-in. nickel-titanium arch wire), initial alignment (0.018-in. nickel-titanium arch wire), and final alignment (0.019 x 0.025-in. stainless steel arch wire). Overall mean irregularity index in the mandibular arch at baseline was 8.5 ± 3.8 mm (95% CI, 7.6 to 9.3) with no significant difference between groups (P = 0.73). For the total sample, mean irregularity index at initial alignment was 2.7 ± 2.8 mm (95% CI, 2.2 to 3.4) with no significant difference between groups (P = 0.40). Mean time from baseline to initial alignment was 59 ± 25 d (95% CI, 54.5 to 65.6); from initial to final alignment, 150 ± 62.5 d (95% CI, 136 to 165); and baseline to final alignment, 209 ± 65 d (95% CI, 195 to 224). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that patterns of alignment were not significantly different among the 3 groups (P = 0.66). Multivariate linear regression for initial and overall alignment rates using initial irregularity index as the covariate showed no significant differences among groups. The most important influence on both initial and overall rates of alignment was initial irregularity (P = 0.1 × 10(-4)). This prospective randomized clinical trial found no evidence that supplemental vibrational force can significantly increase the rate of initial tooth movement or reduce the amount of time required to achieve final alignment when used in conjunction with a preadjusted edgewise fixed appliance (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02314975).

Assessing the influence of chin prominence on perceived attractiveness in the orthognathic patient, clinician and layperson.

The purpose of this investigation was to undertake an objective and quantitative evaluation of how the degree of chin prominence influences perceived attractiveness. The chin prominence of an idealized profile image was altered in 2 mm increments from -24 to 12 mm, in order to represent retrusion and protrusion of the chin, respectively. These images were rated on a 7-point Likert scale by a pre-selected group of pre-treatment orthognathic patients, clinicians and laypeople. In treatment planning to alter the sagittal prominence of the chin in an individual with an otherwise normal soft tissue facial profile, an 'ideal' sagittal position with soft tissue pogonion on or just behind a true vertical line through subnasale may be used. Chin retrusion or protrusion up to 4mm is essentially unnoticeable. Surgery is desired for chin protrusions greater than 6mm and retrusions greater than 10mm. The overall direction of aesthetic opinion appears to be the same for all the observer groups; the greater the retrusion or prominence of the chin, the less the rating of the perceived attractiveness and the greater the desire for surgical correction.

The influence of craniofacial to standing height proportion on perceived attractiveness.

An idealised male image, based on Vitruvian Man, was created. The craniofacial height was altered from a proportion of 1/6 to 1/10 of standing height, creating 10 images shown in random order to 89 observers (74 lay people; 15 clinicians), who ranked the images from the most to the least attractive. The main outcome was the preference ranks of image attractiveness given by the observers. Linear regressions were used to assess what influences the choice for the most and the least attractive images, followed by a multivariate rank ordinal logistic regression to test the influence of age, gender, ethnicity and professional status of the observer. A craniofacial height to standing height proportion of 1/7.5 was perceived as the most attractive (36%), followed by a proportion of 1/8 (26%). The images chosen as most attractive by more than 10% of observers had a mean proportion of 1/7.8(min=1/7; max=1/8.5). The images perceived as most unattractive had a proportion of 1/6 and 1/10. The choice of images was not influenced by the age, gender, ethnicity or professional status of the observers. The ideal craniofacial height to standing height proportion is in the range 1/7 to 1/8.5. This finding should be considered when planning treatment to alter craniofacial or facial height.

The effects of social class and dental attendance on oral health.

The relationship between socio-economic status (SES) and oral health is well-established. We investigated whether the association between SES and the number of sound teeth in adults is explained by dental attendance patterns, in turn determined by the effect of SES on barriers to dental attendance. Data on 3817 participants from the 1998 Adult Dental Health Survey in the UK were analyzed. Using structural equation modeling, we found a model with 4 factors (aging, SES, attendance-profile, and barriers-to-dental-attendance) providing an adequate fit to the covariance matrix of the 9 covariates. The final model suggests that the association between SES and the number of sound teeth in adults in the UK is partially explained by the pathway [SES --> barriers-to-dental-attendance --> dental-attendance-profile --> number-of-sound-teeth]. A direct relationship, SES --> number-of-sound-teeth, is also significant.

Efficacy of acupuncture in asthma: systematic review and meta-analysis of published data from 11 randomised controlled trials.

Contradictory results from randomised controlled trials of acupuncture in asthma suggest both a beneficial and detrimental effect. The authors conducted a formal systematic review and meta-analysis of all randomised clinical trials in the published literature that have compared acupuncture at real and placebo points in asthma patients. The authors searched for trials published in the period 1970-2000. Trials had to measure at least one of the following objective outcomes: peak expiratory flow rate, forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity. Estimates of the standarised mean difference, between acupuncture and placebo were computed for each trial and combined to estimate the overall effect. Hetereogeneity was investigated in terms of the characteristics of the individual studies. Twelve trials met the inclusion criteria but data from one could not be obtained. Individual patient data were available in only three. Standardised differences between means ranging from 0.071 to 0.133, in favour of acupuncture, were obtained. The overall effect was not conventionally significant and it corresponds to an approximate difference in FEV1 means of 1.7. After exploring hetereogenenity, it was found that studies where bronchoconstriction was induced during the experiment showed a conventionally significant effect. This meta-analysis did not find evidence of an effect of acupuncture in reducing asthma. However, the meta-analysis was limited by shortcomings of the individual trials, in terms of sample size, missing information, adjustment of baseline characteristics and a possible bias against acupuncture introduced by the use of placebo points that may not be completely inactive. There was a suggestion of preferential publication of trials in favour of acupuncture. There is an obvious need to conduct a full-scale randomised clinical trial addressing these limitations and the prognostic value of the aetiology of the disease.

Histological and clinical findings in 896 consecutive prostates treated only with radical retropubic prostatectomy: epidemiologic significance of annual changes.

PURPOSE: Recognizing that the unprecedented increase in new cases of prostate cancer between 1988 and 1996 actually peaked in 1992 and has now returned to baseline, we examined our clinical and histological database for annual trends in 896 consecutive men treated only with radical prostatectomy for clinical stages T1c to T2c from 1988 to 1996. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All radical prostatectomy specimens were examined prospectively in 3 mm. step sections by 1 pathologist. Using multiple logistic regression for dichotomous variables and multiple linear regression for continuous variables, both corrected for age, we assessed the annual trends for significant changes in T1c versus T2 clinical stages, preoperative serum prostate specific antigen (PSA), cancer volume, percent Gleason grade 4/5 in the cancer, location of the cancer in the transition or peripheral zone, organ confined status, seminal vesicle invasion, positive surgical margins, prostate weight and presence of clinically insignificant cancers (less than 0.5 cc in volume). RESULTS: There were no significant annual changes in the proportion of percent Gleason grade 4/5 cancer, serum PSA, prostate weight or clinically insignificant cancers less than 0.5 cc, and the annual changes for cancer volume were only of moderate significance. T1c cancers increased from 10% in 1988 to 73% in 1996 (p=0.0001), organ confined cancers from 40 to 75% (p=0.0001) and transition zone cancers from 10 to 21% (p=0.003). Seminal vesicle invasion decreased from 18 to 5% (p=0.001) and positive surgical margins from 30 to 14 (p=0.006). Mean patient age changed from 65 to 62 years (p=0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: We believe that the extraordinary rise and fall in prostate cancer detection rates from 1990 to 1994 primarily removed previously undetected T2 cancers from the pool at large, leaving impalpable T1c cancers as the primary reservoir of prostate cancers in the United States. Importantly, cancer volume, percent Gleason grade 4/5 cancer, serum PSA and cancers less than 0.5 cc have not had a highly significant change during these critical 9 years. These data argue strongly that current PSA testing has not resulted in the detection of clinically insignificant cancers, and that PSA screening should be expanded and not restricted.

A simulated sequential analysis based on data from two MRC trials.

The motivation for proposing sequential methods for cancer clinical trials is presented, and the methodology examined by re-analysing two completed phase III cancer trials of the Lung Cancer Working Party of the British Medical Research Council. The reanalysis proceeds as if the trials had been designed with a planned series of interim analyses governing stopping. Specifically, the triangular and double-triangular tests were applied. The sequential reanalysis gave a substantial reduction in the number of patient required, and deaths observed, for conclusions to be reached in comparison with the completed studies. In each case, the sequential analysis was stratified for baseline prognostic factors which were seen to be important at the first interim analysis.